Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.001509 0.001604 0.001701 0.001810 0.001927 0.002049 0.002188
2025-02-02 0.001396 0.001533 0.001680 0.001851 0.002043 0.002254 0.002504
2025-02-09 0.001314 0.001479 0.001662 0.001880 0.002136 0.002426 0.002783
2025-02-16 0.001281 0.001472 0.001689 0.001957 0.002278 0.002656 0.003136
2025-02-23 0.001214 0.001419 0.001657 0.001956 0.002326 0.002771 0.003353
2025-03-02 0.001128 0.001337 0.001584 0.001900 0.002298 0.002788 0.003445
2025-03-09 0.001063 0.001275 0.001530 0.001863 0.002289 0.002825 0.003560
2025-03-16 0.001021 0.001239 0.001506 0.001859 0.002320 0.002911 0.003742
2025-03-23 0.000975 0.001196 0.001470 0.001837 0.002325 0.002963 0.003876
2025-03-30 0.000938 0.001163 0.001443 0.001826 0.002343 0.003029 0.004033
2025-04-06 0.000899 0.001124 0.001408 0.001801 0.002339 0.003066 0.004148
2025-04-13 0.000858 0.001081 0.001366 0.001765 0.002318 0.003076 0.004224
2025-04-20 0.000800 0.001017 0.001298 0.001694 0.002252 0.003029 0.004228
2025-04-27 0.000790 0.001015 0.001312 0.001737 0.002348 0.003218 0.004595
2025-05-04 0.000774 0.001006 0.001315 0.001766 0.002425 0.003382 0.004935
2025-05-11 0.000775 0.001019 0.001348 0.001837 0.002565 0.003648 0.005455
2025-05-18 0.000752 0.000997 0.001332 0.001837 0.002600 0.003756 0.005727
2025-05-25 0.000714 0.000953 0.001283 0.001784 0.002553 0.003733 0.005779
2025-06-01 0.000683 0.000919 0.001247 0.001750 0.002531 0.003747 0.005895
2025-06-08 0.000665 0.000900 0.001232 0.001746 0.002556 0.003838 0.006147
2025-06-15 0.000642 0.000876 0.001207 0.001726 0.002554 0.003883 0.006322
2025-06-22 0.000623 0.000856 0.001189 0.001716 0.002567 0.003953 0.006544
2025-06-29 0.000602 0.000832 0.001163 0.001693 0.002557 0.003985 0.006698